Gravy thoughts on the Kentucky Derby 5/7/22

[Gravy]

Well we have the run for the roses today as the Kentucky Derby is today Race 12 at 6:57 this evening and this is my list of contenders that I like for the race today:

1) Mo Donegal -Should be flying late as this horse will be coming from far back but my question is you will have to pass alot of horses to win the race but I think should be somewhere on your tickets

3) Epicenter - Horse can run on the front end or stalk and today I think this horse will stalk like last time in the LA Derby and is a serious contender in this race

5) Smile Happy - Here is one of my live longshots today who can get in the money today and has a win at Churchill Downs could be in a nice spot heading home in the stretch

6) Messier- One of the Baffert horses that went to Yakteen will be on the front end out of the gate I just dont think this horse has heart IMO will be on my tickets but wont use this horse to win

8) Charge It - Out of the Pletcher horses today this is the one I like the most today been working well on Saez could sweep the weekend today winning the Oaks on Friday and Derby today must use

10) Zandon - Won from way back to win the Blue Grass but this horse I think needs a break better today think he will be on the ticket but dont think he can win

12) Taiba - Won from a nice stalking trip last time out in the SA derby but only faced 6 horses now 20 today.Also the other Baffert horse in the race trained by Yakteen but like the breeding on this horse have to use him

13) Simplification - Here is my other longshot that I like today consistent horse should be in a nice stalking trip and Jose Ortiz is very underrated in my book us this horse on your tickets

14) Barber Road - Horse will get some love today since Secret Oath won the Oaks and this horse came 3rd in that race and I think that the best this horse gets today 3rd or 4th

15) White Abarrio - Here is a horse that I like in this race but seems like everybody else likes this horse as well for the most part. To me this horse is the perfect stalking horse that has heart I will be using this horse on my tickets

That is my list of contenders for this race I know I should use Cyberknife and Zozos which are Brad Cox horses and Cyberknife beat Secret Oath who won the Oaks but I dont like them if they beat me they beat me

Ok that is it for now be back latter on for my bets

 

[Melniko]

Always look forward to your big race write-ups, Gravy - good luck!

 

[Gravy]

Always look forward to your big race write-ups, Gravy - good luck!

Thxs Melniko and BOL to you as well today

 

[HamGlaze]

We’ll it’s that time again where I go seek out Gravy’s thread for his take on the Kentucky Derby. Kind of a tradition of mine going on several years now. Let’s Go!

 

[indiana]

Gravy.......BOL with your action today buddy....
going with Taiba.....just a guess on my part....indy

 

[Gravy]

Ok here are my bets and just bet within your means as I am splitting these bets with a friend of mine

.50 Tri wheels

3 / 1 5 8 10 12 13 15 / 1 2 5 6 8 10 12 13 14 15 21 = $35

8 / 1 3 5 10 12 13 15 / 1 2 3 5 6 10 12 13 14 15 21 = $35

12 / 1 3 5 8 10 13 15 / 1 2 3 5 6 8 10 13 14 15 21 = $35

13 / 1 3 5 8 10 12 15 / 1 2 3 5 6 8 10 12 14 15 21 = $35

15 / 1 3 5 8 10 12 13 / 1 2 3 5 6 8 10 12 13 14 21 = $35

$1 exacta box

1 5 8 10 12 13 15 = $42

Win bets

$10 win #1
$10 win #5
$10 win #8
$10 win #13

$20 win #12
$20 win #15


Ok BOL to everybody playing the Kentucky Derby this evening !

 

[Gravy]

We’ll it’s that time again where I go seek out Gravy’s thread for his take on the Kentucky Derby. Kind of a tradition of mine going on several years now. Let’s Go!

Good to hear from you Ham Glaze and Im trying my friend as I would love to hit this race trust me

 

[Gravy]

Gravy.......BOL with your action today buddy....
going with Taiba.....just a guess on my part....indy

Good to hear from you Indiana and GL on your pick as I used him also

 

[Jstack34]

GL Gravy!

 

[Gravy]

GL Gravy!

Thxs Jstack and GL to you as well

 

[Gravy]

Im so angry right now as the KY derby came 21-3-10-13-1 and Im sorry if anybody followed my picks as the 21 horse does his best Mine that Bird imitation goes up the rail and beats me GRRRRRR.If it comes 3-10-21 than I have it and I used the longest shot on the board for third fit my systems I use but didnt even think that horse would win and nobody hardly used the 21 as the payoffs were massive

 

[Gravy]

Just watched a replay and Rosario that he had that race in the bag and held off the 10 but he had no idea that the 21 was flying on the rail passed the 6 and it was lights out wow Im still in shock that 21 won

 

[HamGlaze]

This race was fun. Followed the Exacta bet. Had Happy Jack for the long shot and Zandon on Win tickets. Rich Strike lived up to its name. Announcers weren’t as good this year IMO but with the family getting into it and cheering for different horses all together was all worth it. We had fun, laughs, and no tears.

 

[HamGlaze]

Thanks Grave!